December 7, 2009

  • The Rights of Future Generations

    When fighting for rights the easiest is to fight for the rights of the powerful. In today's society the powerful generally means the rich, well educated, and well connected. Their rights are easy to defend for they simply take them and hold them via force unless someone makes them let them go.

    Second to that is the challenge of fighting for the rights of the majority. That's more difficult but still not too hard because there's lots of people there who can fight, and all they have to do is force the powerful and the minorities to concede them their rights. The minorities are unlikely to challenge them except when those minorities are themselves powerful. Democracy is the full representation of Just rights granted to the Majority. Yet in our Democracy there are still areas where the majority are heavily denied those rights. Hence we still have a concept of a Senate that privileges moneyed interests in small populations over the rights of the majority.  And hence too we find it so difficult to get policies implemented even when they are supported by the majority. Examples include majority support for Health Care Reform (in general, not the specific proposals being debated today) and majority support for withdrawal from wars abroad.

    Harder even than securing the rights of the majority, is securing the rights of the minority. Particularly the weak minority groups. The smaller the groups the harder it is to secure their rights. They lack the power to force others to acknowledge their rights and in the past have had to hope that they be given to them as handouts.  Indeed throughout most of human history the idea of actually garnering protections to the rights of the powerless minority seemed an impossibility. Little did the powerful even deign to acknowledge their existence. Only in the modern era has it proven possible to change that paradigm with the advent of Civil Rights Movement, and the Solidarity Movement, and the discovered power of Non-violent Protest. The key to fighting for the rights of the minority is combining minority groups together and drawing upon the support of the majority. There is a natural human inclination to root for the underdog and to feel compassion for others in need. By latching on to those emotions, the minority can and does sometimes find itself capable of wrestling its so called "inalienable" rights from the majority and the powerful. But it's an endless struggle for all the incentives are always pushing the majority and the powerful to take what they want for themselves and give little back

    But hardest of all, is securing the Rights of Future Generations. They are in effect the smallest possible minority. They have no representation. Nobody to speak for them. They cannot object to the suffering the present imposes upon them and we in the present cannot look upon them and see the harm we have caused and feel an urge to change it out of guilt or pity.

    Yet they too have rights. And just as much rights to life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness as any of us living today. They have the right to as much of a chance at achieving that as we have.  And it is our responsibility as a people to give them those rights.

    The fight to Protect the Earth's Environment is about protecting THOSE rights.

    When we eat up all of various species of fish in the Ocean, we deny future generations the right not just to eat fish, but even to experience fish. They will live in a world where those species don't exist. They won't see them swimming in schools down the river. They'll never see any of the jump in the air. They'll never sit by a lake and fish them out of the Ocean. They'll never hold them in their hands. Whenever a species goes extinct for our actions we deny generations of humanity the ability to ever know those species and all the wisdom and understanding that knowledge could have brought them. We give them only our history books and leave them a less rich world.

    When our policies destroy natural resources those are resources our children's children's children will not have.  When cataclysmic climate change sinks lands under rising oceans that's land that future generations will not be able to populate and explore. When cataclysmic climate change radically shifts our Planet's climate causing a mass extinction, that will deny countless countless children the right to even exist.

    The scope of these problems cannot possibly be understated. Today. Right now. We have 25 million people who are environmental refugees because of our changing climate. Conservative estimates suggest that will increase to 150 million over the next fifty years. 10 million people in Africa have been forced to migrate because of increase desertification of their lands. 500,000 people in Bhola Island in Bangladesh were made permanently homeless because their island was left permanently underwater thanks to rising sea levels. These are not the last cases. They are the tip of the iceberg.

    Scientists are inherently conservative. This is one thing that is often missed in the debates regarding Climate Change. The bulk of the estimates Climate Scientists have made have been underestimates. Everything is transpiring much more rapidly than Scientists predicted and the possibilities of rapid cataclysmic climate change are many. One of the most terrifying scenarios comes from the melting of the arctic ice.

    "As they scramble to gather evidence, there is a growing conviction among many scientists that once the Arctic begins to unravel, it could trigger a series of climatic (and climactic) feedback-disasters. How? Perhaps the wildest wild-card lies buried beneath the Arctic soil. Locked up in its frozen claw is a gargantuan amount of methane. This matters because methane causes 25 times more warming by weight than carbon dioxide. Methane is stored in the Arctic in two different forms–and both are vulnerable to breakdown. On land, it is stored in organic matter that rots when the permafrost thaws. Underneath the seas, on the continental shelves, methane is trapped in a crystal structure of water ice in a form called “methane hydrates”.

    There is reputed to be more carbon stored in these methane hydrates than in every lump of coal and barrel of oil in the world. “If even 1% of the methane stored in Arctic-shelf hydrates were released to the atmosphere, it could cause really abrupt warming,” says Susan Joy Hassol, the analyst who along with 300 climate scientists wrote the Arctic Climate Impact Assessment, the most widely respected summary of the science affecting the Arctic. Some scientists believe that when this happened 250m years ago, it triggered the largest extinction event in history: 95% of marine animals and 70% of land-based animals died.
    We know the permafrost is already going. It’s why concrete buildings are sinking into the defrosted mud across Siberia. But how much of it will go? How fast?"

    That was posted in this article. Read it. Read every word. And tell me the prospects are not horrifying?

    And that's just from the ice melting. Predictions about what happens when we over acidify the oceans are no less terrifying. Nor are the effects of just our continual climate annihilation by over hunting and over fishing of the species of our planet destroying ecosystems that have existed for thousands of years. As early as 1993 Scientists have estimated that the the Earth has been losing during the expansion of human population on the order of 30,000 species PER YEAR! Or about 3 per hour! And estimates back then have been shown to underestimate the loss. It's only increasing in speed. http://www.actionbioscience.org/newfrontiers/eldredge2.html

    The Baijal dophin, the west african black rhino, and the golden toad are all animal species that have gone extinct over just the last few years. That list would include many species of tigers, whales, eagles, and sharks that you'd grown up hearing about were it not for the concerted efforts of environmentalists around the world to save them from the brink of extinction.

    Never mistake this for just "business as usual". None of these changes would have happened now in this way or this rapidly were it not for our direct impact. There has never been a species like us on this Planet and the changes we are making to the environment are completely unprecedented. If everyone lived as we in the United States live, we would require five more planet Earths to produce the amount of resources we consume. Think of your own lifestyle. Can you imagine cutting your resource consumption by to one sixth of what it is now? That's what's needed with current population. And population is continuing to grow at a steady pace. Even if none of the dire predictions with regards to Global Warming or Environmentalists prove true, our current course is still leading us to a future of disastrous consequences. As we run out of oil and water to drink and to cultivate food and food to feed everyone there will be chaos. Millions will die in misery without ever having had a chance to truly live.

    And it will be all entirely our fault.

    And it's not like we don't know. Perhaps our grandparents could claim ignorance. We cannot. The knowledge is there. Unequivocal evidence is everywhere. And Scientists around the world have independently sounded the same warnings again and again and again. If we don't listen, and if we don't change it's not because we didn't know and it's not because we couldn't. It's because we didn't want to.

    Any why not? Think about it. It's all about the incentives. You, right here, right now have no incentives whatsoever to do anything about it. We can live on in our wealth, gluttons on natural resources and we face few to none of the consequences. The chances of disaster stirking in such a way that it drastically impacts our way of life is SLIM. We're in the prime of our lives NOW. We can live it up and nothing is stopping us. Consequences? Bah! Those are for people we never met, will never meet, and have zero incentive to care about. If the whole world ends the day after you die, you could care less. You're already dead!

    Those who have children and grandchildren will, at least, have some connection to those future generations. But even then it's only two or three generations removed. If you engage in activities that will doom the population of ten generations removed you have little reason to care. You and everyone you've ever known will be long dead and hardly even a memory.

    That's why, Environmental issues are the very hardest issue to manage to make real progress achieving change in. We've barely been able to make progress in fighting for the rights of the majority and the rights of the minorities. And we can see them. They're US. Our friends, our family, ourselves. Yet it's so hard to make any progress. We go in fits and starts inching forward to a better future. How much harder is it to fight for the rights of the non-existent?

    Yes somehow we must. We have to forget ourselves and call upon our sense of compassion and our notion of Justice to do the right thing. For this is absolutely the most important issue to fight for today.

    You know the lines in that famous movie Indepndence Day?

    "Perhaps its fate that today is the 4th of July, and you will once again be fighting for our freedom, not from tyranny, oppression, or persecution -- but from annihilation.

    We're fighting for our right to live, to exist."

    That's never been more true then it is today. Only we're not fighting for OUR right to exist but that of our great great grandchildren. We're fight for their freedom from annihilation. The rights of our SPECIES to exist.

    Oh if only it were just invading Aliens. That'd be sooo much easier.

    We have to ask ourselves, do we have the right to doom the future denizens of this planet to deal with the destruction of world we caused? Or do we have an obligation to do our best to keep our planet in as good a working order as we possibly can so that our progeny can enjoy the same opportunities as we do?

    We have to decide. Unequivocally. Do future generations have the same rights that we do? Are we going to do what we can to protect them? Or will we just abandon them to their fate. And we have to decide soon. There's not much time yet.

Comments (4)

  • Honestly? I've never thought of the environmental struggle from this angle. My dad used to tell me all these stories about his childhood in Taiwan, how he'd be able to catch fireflies and dragonflies and frogs and lizards. When I went to visit a couple years ago, those things couldn't be found! (cept the frogs) I've never really considered the possibility that perhaps even 5 generations from now, my greatgreatwhateverkids will learn about salmon from the history books. It is truly a disturbing thought.

  • Only one problem with your scenario--the earth has been cooling dramatically for the past ten years.  The data-massagers at CRU have been busted.  Didn't you get the memo?

    @Chinese_Sait0u - Where I live, mosquitos, dragonflies, fireflies, etc. have been increasing. Maybe they emigrated from Taiwan.  There are ecocycles, just like there are solar cycles, lunar cycles, etc.

  • @soccerdadforlife - This is a deception created by taking the year 1998 as the benchmark. 1998 was an El Nino year that was hotter than all other years on record because of the El Nino effect. This was entirely predicted and understood by Climate Scientists.  If you take either 1997 or 1999 as your benchmark instead of 1998
    and it looks like the world is warming up over the past decade. If you
    took 2002 it looks like things are relatively flat. So basically this
    is a case of cherry picking data to use the scenario that gives climate
    deniers the best argument. But it's a distortion of what is actually happening.

    Despite that, 8 of the 10 hottest years on record have been in the last decade. And the average temperature for the past decade is warmer than the average temperature for the decade that preceeded it and the decade that preceded that.  That's true when taken from surface temperatures, ocean, temperatures, and satellite temperature records. It's true when the data is compiled from numerous independent organizations that have absolutely nothing to do with each other yet they come to exactly the same conclusions. On top of that there is the undeniable physical evidence of melting ice sheets that are true and undeniable even if you willfully disbelieve all the temperature records.

    If temperature dips slightly this year compared to last year it does not disprove global warming. It's not a straight linear line upwards nor has anyone EVER said it would be. Just look at the graphs. Every single one that has ever been presented shows up and down variance. It's a multivariable system and that's entirely to be expected. But the overall trend is still steadily upward. So even if you COULD show that the Earth was cooling according to one temperature record over the past decade, it would be insufficient to disprove global warming. You'd have to show that a majority of measurements suggest a large and unpredicted downward trend. Likewise, if one scientist is discredited or one organization is discredited it does not disprove global warming. If one set of data is misinterpreted it does not disprove global warming. The evidence is far more vast than that. 

    And even if, despite all this, you could somehow show that global warming weren't true at all, or weren't at all caused by humans, it would not disprove the fact that we are still undeniably facing the greatest most rapid change in our environment certainly during the entirety of human existence and probably in the history of the planet. It is an environmental crises unprecedented in scale and pretending it doesn't exist won't solve anything.

  • @nephyo - Where are all the normal comments on your site?  Why is everybody ignoring you?  Because, despite all your statistics, your analysis is bullshit.  Sorry, but that's the truth. The CRU twisted the data, then they lost it, then they lied about it, then they covered it up. Then the aussie Global Warming Alarmists were shown to have also massaged the inconvenient truth out of the data.

    Go read some alternate opinion on the hockey-stick studies: http://climateaudit.org/multiproxy-pdfs/

    This doesn't prove that global warming never happens--only that the global warming alarmists have been deceiving lots of folks for prestige, money, etc.  Now it looks like Phil Jones will be fired from the GRU. We need to find out Mann's role in all this and see if he participated in the fraud, which means that, if convicted, we might be able to throw his butt in prison.

    Of course, President B. O. has his head in the clouds and doesn't know about any of this.

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